UFC on ABC 2: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Mike Perry odds, picks and prediction

Joe Williams
Sportsbook Wire

In a welterweight bout on Saturday's main card, Daniel Rodriguez and Mike Perry meet at UFC on ABC 2 - also known as UFC Vegas 23 - at the UFC's APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 11:30 a.m. ET on ESPN+, the prelims start at noon ET on ESPN/ESPN+ and the main card begins at 3 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+. Below, we analyze the UFC on ABC 2 Perry-Rodriguez odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

UFC on ABC 2 Rodriguez vs. PerryOdds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line) : Rodriguez -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Perry +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Over/Under : 2.5 rounds (Over -135 | Under +110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +100 | No -120)

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UFC on ABC 2Rodriguez vs. Perry: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Rodriguez 13-2 | Perry 14-7

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

RODRIGUEZ (-135) heads into the bout with a 3-inch height and 3-inch reach advantage. The southpaw has posted 7.68 significant strikes landed per minute to just 4.35 for Perry. In addition, "D-Rod" has managed a 1.34 takedown average to just 0.69 for Perry, while also holding a 62.50-to-38.89 percent takedown-accuracy advantage.

Rodriguez is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision loss at UFC 255 against Nicolas Dalby Nov. 21, 2020. It was his first loss in four UFC fights, with two of his four fights going the distance.

Perry is also coming off a UD loss at UFC 255, dropping a fight to Tim Means. He has lost six of his past nine fights, with seven of his nine fights going the distance.

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Over/Under (O/U)

The best bet on this card might be YES ( +100): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? as it pays even money. Again, Perry has finished inside the distance in just seven of his past nine bouts.

As such, I also like RODRIGUEZ ON POINTS (+190) for a chance to nearly double up. It's a much better value than taking him on the 2-way line.

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