UFC on ABC 2: Nina Ansaroff vs. Mackenzie Dern odds, picks and prediction
In a women's strawweight bout on Saturday's main card, Nina Ansaroff and Mackenzie Dern meet at UFC on ABC 2 - also known as UFC Vegas 23 - at the UFC's APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 11:30 a.m. ET on ESPN+, the prelims start at noon ET on ESPN/ESPN+ and the main card begins at 3 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+. Below, we analyze the UFC on ABC 2 Ansaroff vs. Dern odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
UFC on ABC 2 Ansaroff vs. DernOdds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:03 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line) : Ansaroff -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Dern +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Over/Under : 2.5 rounds (Over -185 | Under +155)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -155 | No +130)
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UFC on ABC 2Ansaroff vs. Dern: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Ansaroff 10-6 | Dern 10-1
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Ansaroff (-140), who is sometimes listed as Nina Nunes, enters as the favorite. She is a bit on the ornery side after a unanimous-decision setback to Tatiana Suarez at UFC 238 last time out (June 8, 2019). In fact, this will be a "Battle of the Moms," and the birth of her child is the reason she has been away from the octagon for so long.
DERN (+115) fought three times in 2020 since Ansaroff's last fight, and she is a good value on the 2-way line at plus-money. Three of her past five fights have ended via submission wins, all in the first round.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Each of the past four fights for Ansaroff have ended up going the distance, and just one of her seven fights at the UFC level have ended via stoppage.
Dern's last fight, Dec. 12, 2020 at UFC 256, ended up going the distance against Virna Jandiroba. Dern predicted this fight will finish by way of submission over Nunes, and I believe her. As such, take NO ( +130): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? as it's hard to envision Ansaroff going all the way after such a long layoff. UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+155) is also a worthwhile play for a little added value.
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